An Evidential Reasoning based Decision Making Process for Pre-qualifying Construction Contractors
نویسندگان
چکیده
An evidential reasoning (ER) approach is applied to evaluate pre-qualification criteria in selection of a main contractor. This approach has proved to be useful and practical when a decision problem under consideration includes multiple criteria, which are of both a quantitative and qualitative nature. In this type of problem, a major difficulty is how to aggregate numerical data and subjective assessments in order to evaluate potential alternative contractors. A contractor pre-qualification problem (CPP) is investigated to show how the ER approach can overcome this difficulty. The decision making process is fully explained using the ER approach together with discussions about the advantages and disadvantages of the model presented. RÉSUMÉ: L’approche de type “raisonnement par preuve” (ER) est utilisé pour évaluer les critères de pré-qualification pour le choix d’un entrepreneur général. Cette approche a prouvé son utilité dans le cas de problèmes de décision à la fois quantitatifs et qualitatifs. Dans ce type de problème, une difficulté majeure est l’agrégation des données numériques et des evaluations subjectives quant au choix parmi les entrepreneurs potentials. Ce problème de choix d’un entrepreneur (CPP) est analyse pour montrer comment l’approche ER peut aider à surmonter cette difficulté. Le processus d’aide à la décision à l’aide de la méthode ER est longuement expliqué et disquté en en présentant les avantages et les inconvénients.
منابع مشابه
Comprehensive Decision Modeling of Reverse Logistics System: A Multi-criteria Decision Making Model by using Hybrid Evidential Reasoning Approach and TOPSIS (TECHNICAL NOTE)
In the last two decades, product recovery systems have received increasing attention due to several reasons such as new governmental regulations and economic advantages. One of the most important activities of these systems is to assign returned products to suitable reverse manufacturing alternatives. Uncertainty of returned products in terms of quantity, quality, and time complicates the decis...
متن کاملEvidential Reasoning-Based Evaluation of Services
Evaluation of services plays an important role in the pre-negotiation process for negotiations over services between autonomous agents. Typically, the service evaluation problem can be regarded as multiattribute decision making, possibly with uncertainty. This chapter first presents an overview on some decision models, which have been used for evaluating service offers in negotiations, and then...
متن کاملEvaluating Construction Projects by a New Group Decision-Making Model Based on Intuitionistic Fuzzy Logic Concepts
Select an appropriate project is a main key for contractors to increase their profits. In practice, in this area the uncertainty and imprecise of the involved parameters is so high. Therefore, considering fuzzy sets theory to deal with uncertainly is more appreciate. The aim of this paper is present a multi-criteria group decision-making model under an intuitionistic fuzzy set environment. Henc...
متن کاملApplication of Evidence Theory to Construction Projects
Crucial decisions are necessary throughout the life-cycle of large-scale construction projects. Such decisions are critical in that they have a direct impact upon the outcomes and success of a given project. To improve the decision process, an evidential reasoning framework based on the Dezert-Smarandache theory of plausible and paradoxical reasoning, where heterogeneous evidence sources are fu...
متن کاملModelling the Level of Adoption of Analytical Tools; An Implementation of Multi-Criteria Evidential Reasoning
In the future, competitive advantages will be given to organisations that can extract valuable information from massive data and make better decisions. In most cases, this data comes from multiple sources. Therefore, the challenge is to aggregate them into a common framework in order to make them meaningful and useful.This paper will first review the most important multi-criteria decision analy...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
عنوان ژورنال:
- Journal of Decision Systems
دوره 11 شماره
صفحات -
تاریخ انتشار 2002